The terrifying context of a likely war of the EU against Russia for the Ukraine with French troops being sent on the Russian front is less a danger than an option to the French Europeanist tyrant: he can use it as a tool to unite the French political system around him, Olivier Roqueplo
writes.
The victory of Parliament over the Barnier Government seems to open the final chapter of the Macronist regime. The extremely tense context in France and Europe shows that either the regime will upgrade into a personal dictatorship or it will collapse definitely, opening a time of uncertainty and hope for the suffering French society.
1. The victory of Parliament and efficient rage of the people
After weeks of discussions, Parliament refused to vote the budget presented by the new PM Barnier. Barnier was hitherto forced to resign on December 5 2024. After his total defeat in the EU election, and a heavy one in the French legislative election, this is now Macron’s third successive failure this year. He is clearly losing control of the political situation. France enjoyed no stable and legitimate government since June.
France is now unable to act, since it remains without budget. Meanwhile, the social crisis is coming to an apex. The French farmers organized their social movement in such a way, blocking Rungis market on which Paris totally depends, that fanatic Europeanist Barnier had to capitulate and reject the free-trade agreement proposed by the EU with the Mercosur. Interestingly enough, this move of Barnier (and Macron) opened a clash with von der Leyen who was excluded from Notre Dame ceremonies, something incredible between people with the same ideas: Macrons regime cannot even keep its own agenda in front of the EU, its overlord. The fall of Barnier and the abandonment of his decision against the free-trade agreement fuelled the fury of the farmers, whose fight is not likely to end. Macron is now attacked on three fronts: by his people, by his Parliament and by his former friends of the EU. Can he still politically survive?
2. His war, his full powers and his Notre Dame: Macron refuses to give up
For Macron and for France, the situation looks dark on all sides. But instead of retreating, Macron goes further in his quest for power. The terrifying context of a likely war of the EU against Russia for the Ukraine with French troops being sent on the Russian front (Le Monde, November 25) is less a danger than an option to the French Europeanist tyrant: he can use it as a tool to unite the French political system around him since Parliament had almost unanimously and foolishly signed a military alliance with the Ukraine in February 2024. And he can also use this war to justify his next plan which seems to be the use of Article 16 of the Constitution.
According to this article, the President owns the right to enjoy dictatorial powers concentrated in his sole hands for at least sixty days in case of any serious threat to the institutions or Nation if this is associated with the interruption of the normal work of public bodies. The only limit to his powers lies in some control by the Constitutional Council which starts after sixty days, the members of that body being all former politicians rather close to Macron. And some sources mention
that Macron already gathered advice from lawyers and members of the Constitutional Council about this issue in order to implement it soon. In other words, Macron is planning to stage a coup, the only way for him to keep his declining power.
Actually, Macron displays his dictatorial desires more openly day by day: he recently decided to arrest a range of thirty journalists and netizens who dared to harass (= investigate) the private life of the President’s influential old wife.
At the same time, the ceremony of the reopening of Notre Dame in Paris, on December 7, 2024, inviting a plethora of foreign leaders, once again shows
the megalomania of Macron as a new Napoleon III.
Notre Dame, the holy symbol of God’s presence in the heart of Paris, had been burnt mysteriously in 2019 under the sight of hundreds of video cameras of central Paris, and the reopening of the church was turned into a very unusual monarchic-style event where boasting Macron entered the church alone with his wife and the mayor of Paris, confirming his self-view as God. He was actually the only focus of the ceremony, he was the M.C. as well, he spoke first, referring to kings Saint Louis, Henry IV, Louis XIII, Louis XIV and to Napoleon I’s self-coronation in December (!) 1804. He finally annexed the new Notre Dame as his work and listened to a chosen music whose lyrics were The universe exults and dances for the glory of the Most High…Let us go forth full of gladness, let us acclaim the King of Heaven. All this matches his already known illegitimate monarchical tendencies.
3. Double or quits!
As
an answer to Barnier’s fall, Macron reluctantly nominated his old friend,
Europeanist François Bayrou as the new Prime Minister on December 14, a move
similar to the choice of Barnier, and once again in full contradiction with the
previous elections result. Macron is repeating his tactic with no better chance
of success, but is buying time for his final move. He is clearly preparing a
regime change, since he refuses to obey the basic principles of the Fifth
Republic in order to stay in charge at any cost. He may then either succeed in
setting his personal dictatorship for a while in the upcoming months, thanks to
the cowardice of Parliament and support of the Constitutional Council, or
provoke an imminent civil war. He is definitely trying to follow the steps of
his political model, President-dictator Napoleon III, but with only foreign
support from the EU, and with a general rejection by his people.
The Valdai Discussion Club was established in 2004. It is named after Lake Valdai, which is located close to Veliky Novgorod, where the Club’s first meeting took place.
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